Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000200 0.000221 0.000244 0.000270 0.000300 0.000332 0.000370
2025-10-05 0.000162 0.000193 0.000230 0.000276 0.000332 0.000399 0.000486
2025-10-12 0.000139 0.000175 0.000220 0.000280 0.000360 0.000461 0.000603
2025-10-19 0.000121 0.000159 0.000208 0.000278 0.000375 0.000507 0.000704
2025-10-26 0.000109 0.000148 0.000202 0.000281 0.000396 0.000561 0.000820
2025-11-02 0.000097 0.000137 0.000192 0.000277 0.000406 0.000600 0.000919
2025-11-09 0.000089 0.000128 0.000186 0.000276 0.000420 0.000644 0.001032
2025-11-16 0.000081 0.000120 0.000177 0.000272 0.000426 0.000677 0.001130
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000111 0.000168 0.000265 0.000427 0.000701 0.001215
2025-11-30 0.000069 0.000107 0.000166 0.000269 0.000447 0.000758 0.001368
2025-12-07 0.000066 0.000104 0.000165 0.000274 0.000470 0.000823 0.001542
2025-12-14 0.000061 0.000098 0.000158 0.000269 0.000472 0.000850 0.001649
2025-12-21 0.000055 0.000091 0.000149 0.000259 0.000467 0.000865 0.001737
2025-12-28 0.000053 0.000088 0.000149 0.000264 0.000491 0.000940 0.001967
2026-01-04 0.000050 0.000086 0.000147 0.000269 0.000514 0.001017 0.002216
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000082 0.000143 0.000267 0.000523 0.001066 0.002410
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000079 0.000141 0.000269 0.000542 0.001138 0.002674
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000075 0.000137 0.000266 0.000548 0.001183 0.002877
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000072 0.000134 0.000265 0.000559 0.001242 0.003131
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000069 0.000129 0.000260 0.000562 0.001280 0.003335
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000065 0.000123 0.000254 0.000558 0.001302 0.003498
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000064 0.000123 0.000258 0.000581 0.001393 0.003883
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000063 0.000123 0.000263 0.000606 0.001496 0.004332